WEBVTT

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[MUSIC PLAYING]

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OLAKUNLE ALONGE: So we're
going to talk a little bit more

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about eradication
of this strategy.

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So again we've talked
about the vaccine.

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We've talked about the polio
virus in and of itself.

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We talked about by the
clinical manifestation

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of the polio virus.

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We've talked about the history
of the polio and polio disease.

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And we've also talked about
the two vaccines and the two

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different types of vaccines
and the relative advantages

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and disadvantages of these
two different types of polio

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vaccines.

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And indeed because
we have the vaccine,

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because we have
resources and the ability

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to surveil and to detect
cases, eradication in of itself

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is the strategy.

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It's a [INAUDIBLE] strategy
though that is made possible

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because of the availability
of vaccines for polio.

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So we go back to the discussion
around a debate between control

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versus eradication.

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So let's think about polio
as an eradication strategy.

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Again the goal to
eradicate polio.

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So why eradication.

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Why not other types of goals?

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Why not elimination?

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Why not control?

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There are different
challenges or different goals

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that you can aim to
achieve for addressing

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an infectious
disease like polio.

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So one is control.

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Control would be
the scenario where

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you bring down the disease
to an acceptable level.

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So that is to say,
yes the disease

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is still common
within the population.

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But you're able to reduce
the morbidity and mortality

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due to the disease to
an acceptable level.

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So for this you require
ongoing prevention measures

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and treatment measures
to curtail the disease.

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And this is different from
eradication which is really

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the goal to completely eliminate
the disease-causing agent

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from the face of the world.

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So you really want to eliminate
the incidence of the disease

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to zero.

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But that is to say that no
individual, no one on Earth

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will be able to get the disease.

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And if you are able
to achieve this,

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you can actually
stop the prevention

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measures or for control.

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You can't stop vaccination.

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You can stop treatment.

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And so on.

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So all prevention measures
can permanently end.

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An elimination is very
similar to eradication.

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The only difference is just
that you achieve the same

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as you achieve for eradication
but within a limited

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geographical boundary.

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So either within a country
or within a region.

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So why eradication for polio?

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Why not control?

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Why not elimination?

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And the answer to
that is we go back

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to some of the criteria
for or indicators

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for eradicating a disease.

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So one of the things about
eradicating a disease

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is that you really
want to be sure

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that eradication is possible.

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And eradication
is possible based

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upon the biological
concentration

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of the disease
including the fact

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that humans should be the only
[INAUDIBLE] for the disease.

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So that once you eliminate the
disease among human population,

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then you would have
achieved eradication.

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And there's no chance
of amplification

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of the disease-causing agent
within the environment.

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So earlier on, I was
stunned that polio existed

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among only humans
and it was also

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taught that the polio virus
can only amplify within humans.

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And therefore eradication
was set as the strategy.

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Even though as time
went on, we begin

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to understand the biology
of the virus even more.

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And there are reasons to
believe that the virus can,

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in some regard, amplify
within the environment.

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Either in the human host
or just in close proximity

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to the human host.

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And this actually
prevents challenge

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to the eradication goal.

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And then again,
the other notion is

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that you should have
political commitments

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across different countries,
across different regions,

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at different levels in order
to achieve eradication.

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And all of this took place
as far back as in 1988,

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when the Global Polio
Eradication Initiative was set.

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Over the years, there's
been some dynamic changes

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in our understanding of
the biology of the disease.

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There's been a lot of
changes to the commitments

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on the political level in terms
of leadership at country level,

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at national level,
at regional level.

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And so on.

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That has really questioned
the eradication goal

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for the polio program.

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But again the program
is close to achieving

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eradication given that
over 99% of the cases

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have declined for polio over
the course of the 30 years

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at the Global Polio Eradication
Initiative has been in place.

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Eradication is really
difficult, as you can imagine.

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I mean, it's not just for
you to have a vaccine.

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It's not just for you to
have an effective vaccine.

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The vaccine has to be delivered.

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So there's a lot
of implementation

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and consideration that
has to be true in terms

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of delivering the vaccine.

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And then the vaccine
has to be delivered

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all children all eligible
population across the world.

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So you have to do that
across different geographies,

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different boundaries.

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And then you have
scenarios where

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there's different
governor structures

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and political structures
in different countries.

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So you have to work within
those political contexts.

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There are different
cultural beliefs,

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different societal norms.

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You have to work within
the societal norms.

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You have to overcome the
areas of a plain view that

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are post by that.

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And then there are
different individuals

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that are involved from the
parents, the caregivers,

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to the health workers to the
administrator at district

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and regional and national level,
to actors at global level,

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and so on.

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So you have all of these working
together as a complex system.

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So the eradication programs
are difficult because it

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requires implementation
within a very complex system.

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And therefore, there have
been very few examples

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of a successful
eradication program.

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So we know that there
have been at least

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seven different programs
that have been candidate

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for eradication or diseases
that I've been candidates

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for eradication.

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And only one of
them has succeeded

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and that's the
smallpox eradication.

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And the smallpox eradication
is unique in and of itself

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because of the nature of the
virus that causes smallpox.

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It's a DNA virus.

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It's more stable than
having a virus that

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is polio before his start.

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And there are
clinical manifestation

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for smallpox in almost all of
the cases that get smallpox.

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You are able to identify cases.

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You are able to
quarantine cases that

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really set in
preventive measures

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in addition to the vaccine.

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For some of these
other diseases,

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they don't have some of
these clinical purposes.

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So for polio for instance, we
see that in majority of cases

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you don't see the infection.

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So therefore it becomes
difficult for you

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to identify cases to
isolate cases and so on.

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And therefore some of
these other diseases

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either have other
issues and challenges.

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The eradication goal is good.

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Eradicating diseases or setting
up an eradication program

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are indeed very difficult. And
the polio program provides us

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with very useful lessons for our
future eradication activities

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and also for the
global health programs.

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Like I mentioned
earlier on polio

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is harder than the
smallpox to eradicate

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for some of the reasons
that I described.

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One the biology of the virus.

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So smallpox virus is DNA.

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And DNA viruses must
die around the viruses.

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So the extent to which they
change genetic material

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is less frequent.

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And therefore vaccines are
able to confer protection

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in the mist of
regaining virulence

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as we have with the polio virus.

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It's really unlikely
for the smallpox.

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And the second thing is
the clinical manifestation

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of smallpox.

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It's classical.

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And you see lashes,
patients that are healed.

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And this allows you to wrap
to readily identify cases,

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and to isolate cases,
and to quarantine

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the cases and the close
contact to the cases.

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And you can put in other
measures outside of vaccination

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to control the disease.

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And this helped with the
eradication of the smallpox.

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Unlike the polio,
it's not every case

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that has polio that manifest.

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So you really don't know.

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And therefore it becomes
difficult for you

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to isolate or quarantine and
to do ring-fencing immunization

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as was done with smallpox.

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So again the
biology of the virus

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itself, the chemical
manifestation of the virus,

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and then also the
eradication needs

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to happen within
a timely fashion.

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You can imagine that
when you are trying

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to achieve eradication and
this becomes protracted

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because attention wins,
commitment wins over time.

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Resources also wins.

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So it becomes more challenging.

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And that's one thing that has
happened to the polio program.

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There's been a lot of
challenges over the years, which

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has really impacted
on the commitments

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both at a political level
and the implementation

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level in specific countries
to sustain the effort.

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There are other
examples as well.

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But I really want
you to take a pause

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and reflect on some
of this in just

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comparing the polio and
the smallpox eradication

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initiatives.

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again, just to emphasize that
polio eradication is truly

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an enormous endeavor
that requires coalition,

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collaboration at
the global level.

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So you need to think about it
in terms of the scope, the time,

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the resources which requires
implementation of evidence

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supported intervention
across different settings

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both social, political,
economic settings.

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It requires activities and
coordination at various levels,

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at the global level,
at the regional level,

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at the national level, at
the sub-national level.

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It requires many actors.

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So here you see in this picture
a natural administering polio

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or a polio vaccine to a
child in a train in India.

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And indeed you see there's
a lot of people involved.

00:10:18.470 --> 00:10:21.020 align:middle line:84%
So from the parents of the
child to the health worker

00:10:21.020 --> 00:10:24.230 align:middle line:84%
to the supervisors to
the district officers

00:10:24.230 --> 00:10:27.590 align:middle line:84%
to people who do surveillance
to political leaders who makes

00:10:27.590 --> 00:10:29.710 align:middle line:90%
policies at different levels.

00:10:29.710 --> 00:10:32.380 align:middle line:84%
So there are different
actors that are involved.

00:10:32.380 --> 00:10:34.030 align:middle line:84%
And because of the
the peculiarity

00:10:34.030 --> 00:10:37.430 align:middle line:84%
of the different contexts, we
also require different forms

00:10:37.430 --> 00:10:41.400 align:middle line:84%
of strategies to facilitate
and to overcome the areas

00:10:41.400 --> 00:10:43.040 align:middle line:90%
across different contexts.

00:10:43.040 --> 00:10:47.540 align:middle line:84%
So eradication as strategy,
eradication as a goal,

00:10:47.540 --> 00:10:50.370 align:middle line:84%
it's an undertaking that
is not to be taken lightly.

00:10:50.370 --> 00:10:54.200 align:middle line:84%
It's something that requires
the best science, the best

00:10:54.200 --> 00:10:56.790 align:middle line:90%
knowledge to try to implement.

00:10:56.790 --> 00:11:01.250 align:middle line:84%
And also commitment over
time across different levels.

00:11:01.250 --> 00:11:04.860 align:middle line:84%
This slide is really for us to
highlight how the global polio

00:11:04.860 --> 00:11:09.220 align:middle line:84%
eradication campaign has
intensified in recent times.

00:11:09.220 --> 00:11:16.500 align:middle line:84%
So you would see that like
the chain in 1988 and 2008,

00:11:16.500 --> 00:11:19.860 align:middle line:84%
the Global Polio Eradication
Initiative achieved

00:11:19.860 --> 00:11:23.250 align:middle line:84%
a rapid decline in the
number of cases of polio

00:11:23.250 --> 00:11:27.450 align:middle line:84%
from about 350000 cases
to about 1500 cases.

00:11:27.450 --> 00:11:32.760 align:middle line:84%
And then between 2008 to
2018, it was a lot harder

00:11:32.760 --> 00:11:37.560 align:middle line:84%
to reduce the cases because
of a specific contextual issue

00:11:37.560 --> 00:11:39.340 align:middle line:90%
within this population.

00:11:39.340 --> 00:11:44.340 align:middle line:84%
So over that period activities
for mass immunization kind of

00:11:44.340 --> 00:11:46.520 align:middle line:90%
ramped up rapidly.

00:11:46.520 --> 00:11:49.650 align:middle line:84%
And this slide and the
map that you see really

00:11:49.650 --> 00:11:53.610 align:middle line:84%
shows to you how campaigns,
and needless to say activities

00:11:53.610 --> 00:11:58.770 align:middle line:84%
by which we vaccine workers
and health workers go from

00:11:58.770 --> 00:12:01.890 align:middle line:84%
door to door, or go
to a specific location

00:12:01.890 --> 00:12:05.580 align:middle line:84%
to immunize and deliver
the vaccine to children

00:12:05.580 --> 00:12:08.010 align:middle line:90%
intensify over time.

00:12:08.010 --> 00:12:12.960 align:middle line:84%
So you see the intensity
shaded by the color.

00:12:12.960 --> 00:12:14.880 align:middle line:84%
So looking at the
African region,

00:12:14.880 --> 00:12:17.580 align:middle line:84%
you will see that the
darker shade of blue

00:12:17.580 --> 00:12:23.400 align:middle line:84%
is really where you have
between five to nine campaigns

00:12:23.400 --> 00:12:23.940 align:middle line:90%
by child.

00:12:23.940 --> 00:12:27.680 align:middle line:84%
This is to say that
a child in that year

00:12:27.680 --> 00:12:32.500 align:middle line:84%
received a vaccine from a
campaign program that requires

00:12:32.500 --> 00:12:34.500 align:middle line:84%
health workers to
go door to door,

00:12:34.500 --> 00:12:37.590 align:middle line:84%
house to house, or from
location to location,

00:12:37.590 --> 00:12:39.870 align:middle line:84%
between five to nine
times within the year.

00:12:39.870 --> 00:12:43.020 align:middle line:84%
So indeed it shows
to you the skills

00:12:43.020 --> 00:12:45.480 align:middle line:84%
of what it would
entail to achieve that.

00:12:45.480 --> 00:12:50.400 align:middle line:84%
I mean this occurred in places
like Niger Republic in Africa.

00:12:50.400 --> 00:12:54.610 align:middle line:84%
You see in West Africa one
of the darkest shade in Chad.

00:12:54.610 --> 00:12:56.640 align:middle line:90%
In West Africa, it's Sudan.

00:12:56.640 --> 00:12:58.700 align:middle line:90%
In parts of North Africa.

00:12:58.700 --> 00:13:03.200 align:middle line:84%
And then the next
dark shade of blue

00:13:03.200 --> 00:13:06.390 align:middle line:84%
really shows to you where the
campaign occurred between three

00:13:06.390 --> 00:13:08.220 align:middle line:90%
to five parents per child.

00:13:08.220 --> 00:13:11.490 align:middle line:84%
And then the lighter
shade we had about two

00:13:11.490 --> 00:13:16.330 align:middle line:84%
to three or between one to two
campaigns per child per year.

00:13:16.330 --> 00:13:19.060 align:middle line:84%
So again it shows to
you the intensity.

00:13:19.060 --> 00:13:22.290 align:middle line:84%
So not only do you have two
set in all of these actors, all

00:13:22.290 --> 00:13:25.980 align:middle line:84%
of these mechanisms alive for
a particular point in time.

00:13:25.980 --> 00:13:29.040 align:middle line:84%
You have to do it
repeatedly over time

00:13:29.040 --> 00:13:32.360 align:middle line:90%
within the same population.

00:13:32.360 --> 00:13:36.050 align:middle line:84%
And therefore, given the
nature of the disease,

00:13:36.050 --> 00:13:38.860 align:middle line:84%
it's really important
that no child is left out.

00:13:38.860 --> 00:13:43.670 align:middle line:84%
It's really important that
every child that is susceptible,

00:13:43.670 --> 00:13:47.210 align:middle line:84%
every eligible population
receive the vaccine.

00:13:47.210 --> 00:13:49.600 align:middle line:84%
So you have to
achieve perfection,

00:13:49.600 --> 00:13:53.210 align:middle line:84%
even given all of
the challenges that

00:13:53.210 --> 00:13:56.540 align:middle line:84%
are posed by the different
contexts in which the program

00:13:56.540 --> 00:13:58.670 align:middle line:90%
has to be implemented.

00:13:58.670 --> 00:14:00.305 align:middle line:84%
Because just missing
out one child,

00:14:00.305 --> 00:14:02.520 align:middle line:84%
or missing out two
children, or missing out

00:14:02.520 --> 00:14:06.540 align:middle line:84%
a couple of villages, we will
hum poppy the eradication goal.

00:14:06.540 --> 00:14:11.780 align:middle line:84%
So, there's a zero
allowance of missing

00:14:11.780 --> 00:14:13.520 align:middle line:90%
any child or a population.

00:14:13.520 --> 00:14:17.880 align:middle line:84%
So therefore, to achieve
eradication as a goal

00:14:17.880 --> 00:14:21.000 align:middle line:84%
in order to extinct diseases
from the patient you have,

00:14:21.000 --> 00:14:22.330 align:middle line:90%
perfection is essential.

00:14:22.330 --> 00:14:24.830 align:middle line:84%
And then to think about
achieving perfection

00:14:24.830 --> 00:14:28.460 align:middle line:84%
across different contexts,
across different boundaries,

00:14:28.460 --> 00:14:32.210 align:middle line:84%
really allows you
to see how difficult

00:14:32.210 --> 00:14:34.980 align:middle line:84%
and how challenging the
polio eradication initiative

00:14:34.980 --> 00:14:35.840 align:middle line:90%
has been.

00:14:35.840 --> 00:14:38.460 align:middle line:84%
Despite these challenges, there
has been a lot of success.

00:14:38.460 --> 00:14:41.480 align:middle line:84%
And we hear more about some
of this successes some of us

00:14:41.480 --> 00:14:44.000 align:middle line:90%
will go on and discuss it.

00:14:44.000 --> 00:14:47.350 align:middle line:90%
[MUSIC PLAYING]

00:14:47.350 --> 00:14:51.000 align:middle line:90%