WEBVTT

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Hi there.

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It's good to see you.

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In this session you'll learn
about what predicts success.

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And I'm going to begin
the session with a little quiz.

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Now how much of your success,
and let's say salaries and

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promotion, is predicted by your IQ,
your Intelligence quotient.

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For our purposes we'll use IQ to
mean how well you do on standardized

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tests of intelligence, and let's assume
you're somewhere in the normal range of

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intelligence, and let's even assume that
you're on the high end of intelligence.

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So again, how much of your success,
let's say salary and

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promotions, is predicted by your IQ?

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75- 100%, 50- 74%,

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25- 49%, or below 25%.

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The correct answer is D, below 25%.

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Researcher Robert Sternberg,

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one of the world's most renowned experts
on the link between intelligence and

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success in life, found that IQ as
assessed conventional standardized tests,

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predicts only between four to
25% of people's success in life,

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assuming they're somewhere in the normal,
even high range of intelligence.

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As Sternberg says, that's scarcely
something to write home about.

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So why isn't IQ a powerful
predictor of long-term success?

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Sternberg says that people often assume

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that being smart is the same
thing as being intelligent.

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And they define intelligence as how
well people do on standardized tests and

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grades in school.

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Now IQ tests tend to focus on analytical
skills, also known as book smarts.

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Although book smarts may help us get
high grades in school, book smarts

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aren't the only kind of smarts we need
to succeed in a complex, ambiguous,

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and ever-changing world, in which real
problems are often hard to define.

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The one best answer doesn't always exist,
and

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we need the support of others
to accomplish our goals.

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We also need flexibility, creativity, and

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the willingness to take calculated risks,
and invest in life long learning.

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We need to be able to inspire others,
influence others, and

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develop mutually supportive relationships.

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And we need to be dependable,

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because other people count on us
to achieve their goals as well.

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And we need to be able to manage
stress and be persistent and

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resilient, especially in
the face of hurdles and failures.

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Finally we need to know
when to cut our losses and

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find opportunities that are better
aligned with our values and life goals.

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This explains why some
people who excel in school

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never achieve their goals
after they graduate.

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And why some people who
are mediocre students achieve or

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even exceed their goals.

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I'm not saying here that analytical
skills aren't important to your success.

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The ability to think clearly and
logically,

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being able to see the different
parts of complex problems and

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how these parts fit together,
being able to see patterns and

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solve problems in a systematic way using
evidence in order to make decisions,

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and being able to communicate
the steps you take to understand and

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solve complex problems
certainly matter a lot in life.

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But analytical skills, as measured by
standardized tests of analytical ability,

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will not be enough to help you
achieve the success that you desire.

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Now people often ask me whether IQ is
something that is wired in at birth.

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Well the answer is complicated, because
researchers have been debating this for

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a long time.

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Many researchers argue that IQ is innate.

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But many other researchers believe
that a person's IQ can change

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certainly up to a point through
supportive environments and practice.

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Researchers have found that a supportive
and intellectually stimulating environment

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can result in a 12 to 18 point
difference in IQ scores for some people.

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Now this increase in points can move
someone from being categorized from low to

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average intelligence, or from average
to above average intelligence.

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Some researchers have found that for
each year that a student misses in school,

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their IQ scores decline about six points.

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I have a personal story related to this.

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MBA programs typically
require that students take

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the Graduate Management Admissions Test
that's designed to assess

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a variety of verbal, writing, and

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analytical skills believed to be
relevant to success in business.

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These skills include
analytical writing and

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problem solving as well as skills in data
analysis, logic, and critical reasoning.

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When I was applying for admission to MBA
programs, I took the GMAT test twice.

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The first time I didn't do very well and
in fact not very well at all.

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And my college counselor told me that
I should forget about getting an MBA.

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And he'd be happy to hear
now how my life turned out.

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Thankfully, instead of believing him,
I bought a GMAT preparation book, and

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that was before the Internet,
that had hundreds of questions, and

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I studied from that book every night.

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I answered every question in that book.

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I identified which questions I got wrong.

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And I figured out why I
got those questions wrong.

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And then I take the practice test over and
over again.

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And when I took the official GMAT test
again, my score went up quite a bit,

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enough to help me get into the MBA program
I wanted to join at the University of

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Massachusetts Amherst, and
eventually into the Yale PhD Program.

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Now that's a photo of me after my
graduation from the MBA program.

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And who knows where I'd be today if I
had listened to that college counselor.

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Now, I'm not saying that studying for
tests of scholastic achievement will

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always improve someone's grades,
but it does for many people.

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My point is that you may have more control

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over assessments of your analytic
abilities than you think.

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Jumping into the middle of
a debate about whether IQ and

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analytical abilities are innate may be
entertaining and they may be interesting.

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But it won't help you in your quest for
success?

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How do I know that?

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Because Stanford professor of
psychology Carol Dweck and

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her colleagues have shown that you're more
likely to achieve your life goals if you

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believe your intelligence, talents,
and personality are fluid, which means

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changeable with effort rather than fixed
which means innate and unchangeable.

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You'll learn more about
the power beliefs have

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in predicting your success
later in this course.

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So if IQ isn't as strong
a predictor of success as many

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people assume it is then
what about natural talent?

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Do you find yourself saying
she's a natural leader or

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he's a natural communicator?

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Do you ever say things like I'm not a
people person or I'm not a numbers person?

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If so, you're showing one of the most
common biases people have and

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one that can hold you back from
achieving the success that you desire.

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One of the most important lessons to
take from this course is that believing

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in the idea that there are born leaders,
natural talents, and

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overnight successes can hold you
back from achieving your goals.

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Because theses beliefs can hold you back
from putting in the years of dedicated

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time and effort that it takes to become
successful in whatever you choose to do.

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Now what looks like natural talent is
usually the result of years of mindful,

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deliberate practice.

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Consider the following example.

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Tennis champion Serena Williams,
who has won four Olympic gold medals,

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is often portrayed as
being a natural athlete.

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We don't know if she was born with
any innate, athletic advantages.

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But we do know that she started playing
tennis when she was only three years old,

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when her family moved to Compton,
California to begin Serena's and

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her sister Venus',
another world class champion,

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their tennis training in earnest.

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The family moved several times
to give their daughters the best

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coaching available.

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Serena endured several loses and
injuries throughout her career.

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By the time she was seen as an overnight
success, she had invested over 15

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years into becoming one of the most
accomplished tennis players in the world.

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British Prime Minister Winston Churchill,
whose impassioned speeches

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inspired the United Kingdom during
the darkest days of World War II,

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is considered to be one of the greatest
orators of the 20th century.

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Yet for years he worked hard to
overcome a speech impediment.

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He practiced his speeches over and

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over again until they seem
to flow effortlessly.

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Churchill sometimes even used his
speech impediment to his advantage

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by deliberately inserting long
pauses in his speeches for emphasis.

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Actor James Earl Jones, the famous
voice of Star Wars' Darth Vader,

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overcame a childhood stutter to become
one of the media's most powerful and

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memorable voices.

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In an interview, Jones said that he
said his difficulty speaking when he was

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a child helped him become a particularly
good listener throughout his life.

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He credits his high school teachers'
efforts to help him overcome his stutter

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by repeatedly encouraging him
to recite poetry in class

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as the first step along his
path to becoming an actor.

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The Beatles,
the best selling rock band in history,

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was an immediate sensation in the US
when they made their television debut

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on the Ed Sullivan Show on February 9th,
1964.

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An unprecedented 73 million
people watched them, and

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that evening's Ed Sullivan Show became the
highest rated TV show ever at that time.

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What is less known is that the band
practiced throughout Europe for

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several years,
including two years in German bars for

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eight hours a day before they became
what seemed to be an overnight success.

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The band had played in over 1200
concerts by the time they reached

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the Ed Sullivan Show.

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Now natural born geniuses and
overnight successes may exist but

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they are few and far between.

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Most successful people
develop their talents and

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earn their successes day by day,

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play by play while enduring roadblocks,
mistakes, and failures along the way.

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Certainly some people are born
with advantages, physical size for

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jockeys, height for basketball players,
or an ear for music for musicians.

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We are after all not all born the same,
yet

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only dedication to mindful
deliberate practice over many years

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can turn those advantages into talents and
those talents into successes.

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So even though you may feel that
you weren't born with a talent for

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math you can significantly increase
your mathematical abilities through such

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mindful, deliberate practice, or
if you consider yourself naturally shy,

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putting in the time and
effort into developing your social skills

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can enable you to interact with people at
social occasions with grace and with ease.

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Now listen to what Michael Jordan, one of
the most awarded basketball players of

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all time, has to say about natural talent
versus hard work in this short video.

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>> Maybe it's my own fault.

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Maybe I led you to believe
it was easy when it wasn't.

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Maybe I made you think my highlight
started at the free throw line,

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and not in the gym.

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[MUSIC]

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Maybe I made you think that every
shot I took was a game winner.

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[MUSIC]

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That my game was built on flash,
and not fire.

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[MUSIC]

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Maybe it's my fault that you didn't
see that failure gave me strength,

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that my pain was not motivation.

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[MUSIC]

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Maybe I led you to believe that
basketball was a God-given gift,

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and not something I worked for
every single day of my life.

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[MUSIC]

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Maybe I destroyed the game.

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[MUSIC]

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Or maybe you're just making excuses.

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[MUSIC]

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>> Note that Jordan also created
a sustainable career that brought him

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outstanding success beyond his years
as a professional basketball player.

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Through his business acumen, he's now one
of the highest paid sports celebrities

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in the world, and he was the first NBA
basketball player to become a billionaire.

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Now what I want you to remember is this.

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First, analytical intelligence,
although important,

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is only one predictor of success.

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Second, you can increase your analytical
intelligence as well as many other skills

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that are central to your success
through devoted practice.

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And third, over-relying on intelligence

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can prevent you from learning
other talents that are equally and

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sometimes more important to your
success and well-being in life.

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So if analytical abilities aren't enough,
and

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if natural talent isn't enough,
what does predict success?

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Researchers have found that successful
people develop beliefs that

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propel them forward rather
than hold them back.

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They develop an expertise that
is meaningful to them, and

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that matters to others.

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They are self-motivated to achieve
their goals and they move steadily

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toward their goals despite
the inevitable failures and setbacks.

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And they do so
by being conscientious and gritty.

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And they develop mutually supportive
relationships through which they give and

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get resources that are necessary to their
success and to the success of others.

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I will discuss each of these strategies
for success throughout this course, and

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I will provide you with insights from
decades of research as well as ideas.

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And I hope the inspiration for

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implementing these
strategies in your own life.

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Thank you for listening.